Best Bets 11.15.23

Last Night’s Recap

We went 3-0 on bets made by a human and 0-1 on bets made by an expensive computer algorithm. We might give the algo a night off after that one. We’re back over .500 and hopefully we can stay there.

Western Michigan +23.5 vs. Northwestern ✅

Iowa +12.5 vs. Creighton ✅

Texas A&M -5.5 vs. SMU ✅

Alcorn State/Arkansas State Under 154.5 ❌

Overall record: 14-13

Let’s dive into today’s picks.

*All lines via FanDuel. Please bet responsibly.*

Today’s Bets

Merrimack +23.5 vs. Ohio State

We will continue to fade big numbers in the Big 10. Ohio State looks better, but not dominant so far this season. We expect them to win this game, but by 15-18 points instead of 24. Take the points.

Princeton/Duquesne Over 144.5

These two offenses are top-75 in efficiency, per KenPom. Princeton is shooting 38.9% from three (55th overall). Duquesne is giving up 36.8% from three (270th overall). Princeton isn’t running up and down, but they’re going to keep this one close enough that late free throws will push us over the number.

Stony Brook/Nebraska Under 139.5

Every one of Nebraska’s games has gone under the current number and Hoiberg’s team has been excellent defensively so far this season. Neither team wants to push the pace and I don’t expect Stony Brook to hang around long enough that free throws push this thing over. 70-something to 50-something. Take the under.

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